Donald Cerrone vs Niko Price
Donald Cerrone (+115)
Record: 36-15-0, 1 NC
Last 5 Fights:
L – U Dec – Anthony Pettis (22-10-0)
L – R1 TKO – Conor McGregor (21-4-0)
L – R1 TKO – Justin Gaethje (20-2-0)
L – R2 TKO – Tony Ferguson (24-3-0)
W – U Dec – Al Iaquinta (14-4-1)
Niko Price (-145)
Last 5 Fights:
L – R3 TKO – Vicente Luque (17-7-1)
W – R1 KO – James Vick (13-4-0)
L – R2 TKO – Geoff Neal (11-2-0)
W – R1 TKO – Tim Means (28-10-1)
L – R1 TKO – Abdul Razak Alhassan (9-1-0)
Prediction: Donald Cerrone via Submission
This is a very exciting match-up. Price has arguably over-achieved throughout his career, but that’s only because he works extremely hard and his style is pure chaos. He’s 6-4 (1 NC) in the UFC and none of his 11 fights have gone to the judge’s scorecards. Only 1 fight (his last one) has even entered the 3rd round. It’s not for a lack of cardio, but more-so just a preference of going shot for shot until one man is left standing.
Cowboy will be more than happy to trade and I expect him to have a decisive advantage in the striking (and grappling) department. He’s on a 4-fight losing streak but he’s also been going up against the best of the best in the world. He fought Tony Ferguson, Justin Gaethje, and Conor McGregor all within 8 months. I actually thought he should’ve won the decision over Pettis back in May, but either way it was an extremely close fight. He took some good shots but he landed some as well, and he even got a couple of take downs.
Price is an exciting fighter but he just doesn’t have the skill-level to hang with Cowboy for 3 rounds. His style has proven to get past guys like James Vick and Tim Means but once the competition rises (i.e. Luque, Neal) he has a tendency to come up short. Despite losing 8 out of his last 12 fights, I can still safely say that Cowboy has only lost to elite-level fighters. And over that same stretch, he has beaten guys like Al Iaquinta, Alex Hernandez, Mike Perry, and Yancy Medeiros. Don’t let the recency bias fool you. Take the underdog Cowboy to get it done.