Vicente Luque vs Randy Brown

Vicente Luque (-185) (18-7-1)

Luque picked up a 3rd round TKO over Niko Price just a few months ago. He’s got a granite chin and he’ll walk through a few strikes to get his own. This strategy has been effective so far and he’s gone on to accumulate an 11-3 record in the UFC. He’s only lost to Stephen Thompson and Leon Edwards in the past 5 years. Despite his tendency to brawl, Luque has shown excellent durability and never been knocked out in his career.

Randy Brown (+155) (12-3-0)

Brown enters this fight on a 2-fight winning streak. He’s 6’3 with a 78 inch reach and he uses his length advantage very well. He can finish both on the feet and on the ground and he has solid cardio. In his last fight, he finished Warlley Alves with a triangle choke from the bottom. Before that, he earned a 3rd round TKO over Bryan Barberena. Brown has excellent athleticism and he’ll utilize his movement to keep this fight at his range.

Prediction: Randy Brown via Decision

Luque’s had 3 fights in the past year and he’s absorbed an average of 118 significant strikes per fight. He took 87 from Mike Perry, 138 from Stephen Thompson, and 129 from Niko Price just a few months ago. Brown hasn’t fought since last November. I expect him to establish his range and land the sharper combinations. He also does an excellent job of bringing the front kick and flying knee up the middle. Take the underdog “Rude Boy” Randy Brown to get it done.

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