Tim Elliott vs Ryan Benoit
Tim Elliott (-120) (16-11-1)
UFC veteran Tim Elliott enters this fight on a 3-fight losing skid. He was submitted by Brandon Royval just over a month ago and lost a decision to Askar Askarov back in January. Despite the losses, he just signed a new 4-fight contract with the UFC, got a pay raise, and now he’s fighting in the co-main event on Fight Island. He seems to be extremely focused for this matchup and he’ll be eager to get back to his winning ways with an impressive performance over Ryan Benoit.
Ryan Benoit (-110) (10-6-0)
Ryan Benoit has traded wins and losses for his last ten fights, dating all the way back to 2012. He hasn’t been very active, fighting only once in the last three years. In that fight, he dropped a split decision to Heili Alateng despite landing more total and significant strikes. He was taken down 4 times and he’ll be wary of the takedown threat against Elliott. 8 of Benoit’s 10 career wins have come via knockout and he has an impressive TKO over Sergio Pettis on his resume. He’ll be eager to hand Elliott his first knockout loss in the UFC.
Prediction: Tim Elliott via Decision
Elliott’s lost his last three fights but they’ve all been against higher ranked opponents, and two of them were submissions. He’ll take a step back in competition against Benoit and he won’t have to worry about the submission threat this time around. Expect Elliott to smother Benoit and go for takedowns from the word “go”. Benoit has decent takedown defense but Elliott’s pressure will wear him down over time. Elliott did gas out against Royval but I expect him to fight at a much more efficient pace against Benoit, and Benoit doesn’t have the best gas tank either. Benoit’s best path to victory is via knockout and while 8 of his 10 professional wins have come that way, only 2 of those 8 have come in the UFC. On top of that, Elliott hasn’t been knocked out since 2009 and never in the UFC. Take Tim Elliott to grind out a tough decision victory.